The informal economy and its connection with the progress of organized crime: Prospects for the decade from 2015 to 2025

Authors

  • Walter Antonio Fagoaga López Instituto Especializado de Educación Superior de Profesionales de la Salud

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5377/rpsp.v4i2.1763

Keywords:

Informal economy, criminal associations, illegal economy, organized crime and criminal entrepreneurship

Abstract

The informal economy is part of the structural reality of almost every country in the world, although the most under developed countries are the ones in which this type of economic activity is most prevalent. However, despite being a source of income for a representative segment of the economically active population, because of characteristics associated with the lack of standardization and controls, it may be ideal as a niche for criminal activity and potentially for criminal associations at the level of organized crime.
Using diverse empirical evidence, this article examines the relation between the informal economy and the progress of criminal associations - gangs and other groups - in El Salvador, with the aim of proposing 10 year Foresight scenarios from 2015 to 2025 to make a prognosis of their evolution based on income growth. It will conclude by considering the role of the informal economy in this uneasy relationship.

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5377/rpsp.v4i2.1763

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Author Biography

Walter Antonio Fagoaga López, Instituto Especializado de Educación Superior de Profesionales de la Salud

Licenciado en Sociología y egresado de la Maestría en Métodos y Técnicas de Investigación Social por la Universidad de El Salvador (Facultad Multidisciplinaria
de Occidente); cuenta con un posgrado en Gestión Científica de ISEADE-FEPADE. Entre sus publicaciones se destacan los libros: ”Secuelas sicosociales de la tortura en El Salvador”, de la Comisión de Derechos Humanos de El Salvador; y “La condición Socio cultural y la Práctica de la Salud Preventiva en El Salvador”, publicado por la Editorial Académica Española. Ha trabajado como consultor en estudios urbanos, sobre medio ambiente, derechos humanos, salud y educación para instituciones nacionales e internacionales. Actualmente es Coordinador General de Investigación y Proyección Social, en el Instituto Especializado de Educación Superior de Profesionales de la Salud de El Salvador (IEPROES).
Prospectiva de seguridad

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Published

2014-12-19

How to Cite

Fagoaga López, W. A. (2014). The informal economy and its connection with the progress of organized crime: Prospects for the decade from 2015 to 2025. Police and Public Security Journal, 4(2), 227–254. https://doi.org/10.5377/rpsp.v4i2.1763

Issue

Año 4, Vol. 2, Julio - Diciembre 2014

Section

Academic Articles

License

Copyright on any research article is transferred in full to Revista Policía y Seguridad Pública upon publication in the journal. The copyright transfer includes the right to reproduce and distribute the article in any form of reproduction (printing, electronic media or any other form).