Incidence of the immediate desired child by honduran men, according to sociodemographic and cultural factors. 2011-2012

Authors

  • Lorenzo Herrera León Centro de Estudios Demográficos, Universidad de La Habana
  • Lilian Margarita Sierra Soriano Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras
  • Ana Carolina Paz Delgado Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5377/pdac.v14i0.6854

Abstract

Based on the information collected in the Demography and Health Survey carried out in Honduras during the 2011-2012 biennium, it was decided to study the characteristics of the immediate or next desired son in men. The objective is to describe the incidence of the immediate desired child by Honduran men, according to the waiting time declared for their birth, and sociodemographic and cultural factors. The methodology used
consisted in the design and construction of life tables for the immediate desired child (IDC) based on the question How much time would you like to wait from now until before the birth of a (other) child? with which it is possible to describe the intensity or incidence of IDC according to the waiting time for its birth and sociodemographic and cultural variables. We also used the Cox regression of proportional risks for invariant covariates over time, which allowed us to make comparisons through the Relative Risk, controlling the confounding variables and estimating the net effect of each predictor on the probability of a man having IDC. Of the 18 variables analyzed, only a few were included in the regressive model, and some results were paradoxical, such as the area of residence, usually an excellent differential of female fertility, which did not show statistical significance. On the other hand, the variable built Reproductive Gap was also a good predictor, also an appropriate summary factor, with explanatory capacity to replace other variables, which allowed to provide the model with a good amount of parsimony.

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Author Biographies

Lorenzo Herrera León, Centro de Estudios Demográficos, Universidad de La Habana

Doctor en Ciencias Económicas, Docente e Investigador jubilado, Centro de Estudios Demográficos, Universidad de La Habana

Lilian Margarita Sierra Soriano, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras

Máster en Demografía y Desarrollo, Docente e Investigadora de la Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras

Ana Carolina Paz Delgado, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras

Máster en Demografía y Desarrollo, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras; con especialidad en Desarrollo Local y Turismo e Ingeniera en Desarrollo Socioeconómico y Ambiente. 

Published

2018-12-13

How to Cite

Herrera León, L., Sierra Soriano, L. M., & Paz Delgado, A. C. (2018). Incidence of the immediate desired child by honduran men, according to sociodemographic and cultural factors. 2011-2012. Población Y Desarrollo - Argonautas Y Caminantes, 14, 71–93. https://doi.org/10.5377/pdac.v14i0.6854

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Articles