Future determinants of the adolescent fertility in Honduras period 2011-2012

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to analyze the indirect and intermediate determinations related to adolescent fertility and its relationship with schooling level. Methodologically, replicating the fertility model proposed by John Bongaarts; and using data from the Demographic and Health Survey (ENDESA) 2011-2012. After examining the intermediate variables posed by the model, nuptiality or early union was identified as the most influential variable. In a period of three years, the global rate of adolescent fertility is 1.46, which is the average of children per thousand in adolescent women. In addition, it was found that in the cases of pregnant adolescents or those who were already mothers during the year of the survey, the majority were residing in the rural area. These adolescents present sociodemographic characteristics different from those of the urban area such as greater number of children, lower level of schooling, and in the lowest wealth quintile.