Chile, Haiti, Christchurch and Katrina: an approximation to a counterfactual analysis
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5377/rct.v0i12.1702Keywords:
Counterfactual analysis, critical junctures, resilienceAbstract
A proposal of a resilient society against risks is presented, followed by a summary of the methodology assumed by the historical institutionalism for the analysis of critical junctures, emphasizing the weight of disasters as producers of these junctures. Most of the data have been obtained from the analysis of secondary sources. In the description of each case, critical junctures were identified, and the end result is the counterfactual analysis, trying to identify viable decisions that might have taken place in the junctures and that could have provoked a significant decrease in the level of losses in each of the four cases. Finally the study concludes emphasizing the importance of counterfactual analysis as a way to build more resilient societies.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5377/rct.v0i12.1702
Revista Ciencia y Tecnología, No. 12, junio 2013: 43-56
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