Characterization of the urban network and generation of travel projection models in the city of Estelí, Nicaragua

Abstract

The study aimed to characterize the urban network, model travel and make projections within the urban area in the city of Estelí, through household surveys and surveys of ups and downs. The urban route belonging to the Rosario was selected because it is the one that runs throughout the city. The following statistical travel model was obtained (number of trips made in one day) depends on age, income and the number of people living in a home, under the formula Y = 1.11 + 0.01 (age) - 5.57 * 10 -5 (income) +0.06 (number of people in the household) with p-value = 0.03. The 2.43 km stretch of road between the NACSA Tobacco Company and Las Segovias supermarket is the one with the highest demand with a value of 222,125 passengers per month. The most visited points are Universidad UNAN Managua FAREM - Estelí, tobacco factories and the San Juan de Dios Hospital, within the 53 existing stops. A proposal for a route change was also made in the principal avenues of the Estelícity, to reduce traffic congestion and a replacement analysis of electric bus units to improve supply, reduce environmental pollution and obtain better benefits; Economically speaking, the project proved convenient because a cost-benefit ratio of 1.35 and a net present value of C $ 56,951,947.10 was obtained, all with a total investment of C $ 59,427,675.00, recoverable in 1 year, 6 months and 8 days. In general, if the proposed models and solutions are applied, it will be possible to improve the urban transport system of the city of Estelí, increasing the quality of life of the inhabitants.