COVID-19 and its epidemiological cycle in El Salvador

Authors

  • Oscar Picardo Joao, Dr. Universidad Francisco Gavidia
  • James Humberstone Universidad Francisco Gavidia
  • Javier Cladellas Universidad Francisco Gavidia
  • Oscar Luna Universidad Francisco Gavidia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5377/ryr.v51i0.9849

Keywords:

COVID-19, epi curve, epidemiology, El Salvador

Abstract

The present study (IMRaD) seeks to answer the question: what is the epidemiological cycle of COVID19?; that is, its complete epi curve, from the appearance of the first case, to the phase in which the epidemic is fully controlled; For this, two working methods have been used: a) case study; and b) projections with Mathlab with the model of Milan Batista. The objective of this study is to estimate the date on which the epidemic of COVID-19 in El Salvador will end considering mathematical modeling tools and the study of cases from other countries such as Taiwan, New Zealand, South Korea and Singapore. 

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Author Biographies

Oscar Picardo Joao, Dr., Universidad Francisco Gavidia

Director of Science, Tecnology and Innovation Institute of Francisco Gavidia University (El Salvador). Director of Science and Humanities of Dr. “José Matías Delgado” University. Adjunct Professor Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Sciences Center (MCMSC) Arizona State University.

James Humberstone, Universidad Francisco Gavidia

Research Mathematical Modeling Center Carlos Castillo Chávez of Francisco Gavidia University. 

Javier Cladellas, Universidad Francisco Gavidia

Research of Mathematical Modeling Center Carlos Castillo Chávez of Francisco Gavidia University. 

Oscar Luna, Universidad Francisco Gavidia

Director of the magazine Disruptiva.media

Published

2020-06-24

How to Cite

Picardo Joao, O., Humberstone, J., Cladellas, J., & Luna, O. (2020). COVID-19 and its epidemiological cycle in El Salvador. Reality and Reflection, 51, 102–113. https://doi.org/10.5377/ryr.v51i0.9849