Triggers of migration in Honduras

Abstract

Introduction. Migratory movements have been a great concern since 2010, 80,000 Hondurans a year have traveled abroad in the last 10 years. The study aim was to evaluate and validate whether there are relationships between the growth of migration and poverty, unemployment and insecurity in Honduras. Methods. Official data was used. The sample was the Honduran population of 11 years from 2009 to 2019, with 10 periods (∑ n years -1 = n periods). Several correlation models of four variables were generated in the E-views program: migration, as the dependent variable and poverty, unemployment and insecurity, as the independent variables. Results. There was a direct relationship between people who migrated from the country and levels of poverty, employment and insecurity that prevailed in the community. A direct relationship was found between migration and the trend in the number of homicides, being R² 0.983118, even though the trend of underemployment was very significant when reaching a R² 0.796188 and the degree of poverty influenced the R² 0.50874561. Conclusion. The variable relationships showed a cause-effect dependence between insecurity and migration, reflected in the number of citizens living abroad today. This relationship requires the definition of a public policy that addresses the fact that, in addition to poverty and unemployment, there is an even more alarming phenomenon, the anxiety and desire for protection of the individual who feels threatened.